You linked to a post arguing that the placebo effect is mostly "just regression to the mean." But then, lower purported productivity after winning the Nobel prize is likely also, in part, regression to the mean. You only win the Nobel prize after extremely high research performance, some of it due to luck, so you would expect lower productivity going forward.

edited Sep 1, 2023You linked to a post arguing that the placebo effect is mostly "just regression to the mean." But then, lower purported productivity after winning the Nobel prize is likely also, in part, regression to the mean. You only win the Nobel prize after extremely high research performance, some of it due to luck, so you would expect lower productivity going forward.

The noble prize effect is likely also partly age effect.